Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLU
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
FLU
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 3
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
FLU
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATM
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
FFL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 3
COR
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 0
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
JEC
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |