Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 0
FLU
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
FLU
1 - 1
FFL
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
ATM
3 - 0
FLU
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
FLU
3 - 0
GOI
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
SAO
0 - 1
FLU
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 2
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAL
32%
26%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
PAL
3 - 2
VAS
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |