Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
FLU
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
COR
1 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
FLU
0 - 0
PPE
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 4
SCI
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 2
PAL
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOT
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 0
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PAR
4 - 2
PAL
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |