Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ATM
1 - 2
FLU
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 2
VAS
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 1
FLU
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 2
SCI
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 1
PPE
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 2
PAL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 3
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 1
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |