Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLU
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
PPE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 3
FLU
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FLU
0 - 2
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
FLU
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 2
CRI
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GOI
0 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 2
FLA
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 2
GUA
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 1
PAL
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |