Fluminense vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
3.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 2
CRI
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 2
FLU
6%
16%
77%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 1
FLU
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
FLA
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 3
FLU
7%
17%
76%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
BAN
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VOL
2 - 2
NOV
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 0
BAN
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAD
0 - 0
NOV
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |