Fluminense vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
2.6%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAB
3 - 1
FLU
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 1
IFC
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SCI
0 - 2
FLU
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAD
1 - 1
RES
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
2 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAD
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ITU
4 - 2
MAD
57%
25%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 2
ITU
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -2 |