Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-1
Fluminense vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
75%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 0
MAC
88%
9%
2%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
FLU
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 3
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 1
FEN
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
LFC
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LFC
0 - 4
MWA
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 1
LFC
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CER
2 - 1
LFC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |