Fluminense vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
2 - 0
FLU
35%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FLU
4 - 0
MAD
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 0
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLU
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 1
LIG
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LIG
3 - 1
TEC
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
UCE
0 - 2
LIG
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
LIG
6 - 1
ARS
53%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |