Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 4-5
Fluminense vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 2
FLU
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
FLU
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
CUI
0 - 1
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 2
FLU
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 2
CRI
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CRZ
2 - 0
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |