Fluminense vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
GOI
2 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
4 - 3
GAM
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
1 - 1
VIT
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
JUV
3 - 3
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 2
JUV
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
COR
0 - 0
JUV
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
VAS
1 - 1
JUV
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |