Fluminense vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 3
GOI
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
FLU
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATP
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ATM
3 - 0
FLU
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
FLU
3 - 0
FFL
67%
19%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
PPE
0 - 2
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
COT
3 - 2
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |