Fluminense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FLU
3 - 0
PAL
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FLU
3 - 3
CRZ
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
CHA
63%
24%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATP
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |