Fluminense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
AMF
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 2
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 2
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 2
ATM
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AMF
2 - 2
GRE
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |