Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Fluminense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 2
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
POR
0 - 1
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 2
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 0
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SCI
0 - 2
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 2
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 1
AVA
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
PEL
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |