Fluminense vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
4 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
FLU
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
2 - 5
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 1
CRZ
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
COR
5 - 2
GOI
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 1
SCI
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
GOI
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
2 - 0
GOI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |