Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-3
Fluminense vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 3
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 0
FFL
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
60%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLU
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
0 - 1
CEN
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BAN
0 - 0
GLP
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 0
GLP
22%
28%
50%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
GLP
3 - 2
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
GIM
3 - 1
GLP
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |