Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLU
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 3
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 0
GOI
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 4
BAH
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
VAS
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
COT
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |