Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
FLA
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 0
FLU
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
FFL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FFL
2 - 0
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 0
CFZ
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
CFZ
0 - 0
FOR
8%
18%
74%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |