Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 2
CRZ
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 1
FLU
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
COT
5 - 0
FLA
42%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
FLA
6 - 0
BAH
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
PPE
1 - 1
FLA
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
SCI
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |