Fluminense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAY
2 - 2
FLU
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 1
FLU
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 1
SPO
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
FFL
3 - 0
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 2
FFL
87%
9%
5%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
FFL
89%
7%
3%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FFL
0 - 0
PPE
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
COT
1 - 0
FFL
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |