Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-3
Fluminense vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
FER
3 - 3
FLU
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATP
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 2
FLU
12%
20%
68%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
FER
3 - 3
FLU
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 0
FER
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
BOT
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
FER
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |