Fluminense vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 0
FLU
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
FER
1 - 0
FLU
40%
31%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1985 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLU
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1985 |
FLU
0 - 1
ARG
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1985 |
FLU
3 - 3
VAS
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
FER
1 - 0
FLU
40%
31%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
FER
1 - 1
BOC
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1985 |
FER
1 - 3
ARG
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1985 |
ESP
2 - 0
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1985 |
FER
2 - 0
VAS
40%
30%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |