Fluminense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
FLA
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 4
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FLU
4 - 1
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
BAH
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 1
SCI
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 1
BAH
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 1
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |