Fluminense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FLU
5 - 2
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 3
GOI
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
FLU
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATP
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
4 - 0
BAH
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 2
BAH
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
GOI
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |