Fluminense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 3
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 2
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 2
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 1
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 4
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
COR
41%
28%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |