Fluminense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 1
GRÊ
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 1
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 3
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GOI
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
ATP
0 - 2
CRZ
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
CRZ
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SAN
52%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRZ
19%
24%
58%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |