Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-3
Fluminense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 2
FLU
6%
16%
77%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 1
FLU
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
FLA
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 3
FLU
7%
17%
76%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
2%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 3
CRI
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 1
FLU
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
3 - 2
CRI
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
5 - 4
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |