Fluminense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLU
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATP
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CRZ
4 - 2
FLU
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 2
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
VAS
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
CRI
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
CRI
2 - 3
CEA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |