Fluminense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
AME
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 4
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 2
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CRI
3 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
CRI
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRI
0 - 0
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |