Fluminense vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
FLU
0 - 0
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 2
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 1
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 3
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
COT
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CRZ
1 - 1
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
COT
2 - 2
SAO
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
COT
3 - 0
FFL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |