Fluminense vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 1
FLU
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
FLU
2 - 0
ARN
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
FLU
2 - 0
ATP
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 2
FLU
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
COR
1 - 2
SPO
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 0
COR
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
COR
0 - 1
BOT
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
COR
1 - 2
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |