Fluminense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 0
FLU
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLU
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
SCI
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 0
AMF
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
FLU
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPO
40%
30%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
ATL
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
AMF
3 - 0
CHA
59%
25%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
GRE
18%
27%
56%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |