Fluminense vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 1
NOV
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 4
FLU
6%
17%
77%
|
81 | 39 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 3
VOL
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CCS
0 - 5
RIV
9%
17%
74%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 2
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ATT
1 - 2
RIV
19%
21%
60%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 0
RIV
11%
18%
71%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 0
RAC
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |