Fluminense vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
12%
20%
69%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
FLU
24%
25%
52%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BON
0 - 2
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 3
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
ARG
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 2
LAN
57%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SMA
0 - 1
BOC
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |