Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-2
Fluminense vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
FLU
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 3
FLU
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FLA
3 - 1
FLU
75%
15%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 2
JUN
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
21%
23%
56%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 3
BRA
31%
30%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
TAL
0 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
PPE
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAL
25%
27%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |