Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 2
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FLU
2 - 1
ATP
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FLU
4 - 2
CRI
69%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
ATP
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
BOT
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |