Fluminense vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
3.3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VOL
3 - 1
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 1
FLU
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLU
33%
28%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BON
0 - 2
RES
31%
28%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
BON
2 - 3
MAC
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
BON
1 - 3
RES
37%
29%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VOL
0 - 1
BON
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 1
BON
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |