Fluminense vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
FLU
11%
19%
70%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
ARS
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOA
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 2
BAN
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
70%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
BAN
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |