Fluminense vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 0
BRA
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SCI
1 - 2
FLU
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
FLU
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATP
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
ATP
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 1
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ATM
0 - 2
ATP
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |