Fluminense vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
FLU
27%
25%
49%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
CRZ
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
ATP
1 - 2
CRZ
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATP
1 - 2
ATM
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
NOB
2 - 1
ATP
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ATP
1 - 3
PAL
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BAH
0 - 0
ATP
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |