Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-1
Fluminense vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 2
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 0
LIG
60%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
2 - 0
FLU
35%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
PAS
0 - 1
NAC
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 2
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 2
AME
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
QUI
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |