Fluminense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 2
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLU
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLU
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 1
COT
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 0
FLU
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
CRZ
2 - 2
ATM
60%
21%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
ATM
4 - 0
BOT
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
GOI
1 - 2
ATM
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ATM
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
PPE
4 - 3
ATM
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |