Fluminense vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
BOA
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 3
FLU
9%
20%
71%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
FRI
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
ARS
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ARS
3 - 0
HUA
53%
23%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
ARS
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 2
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARG
2 - 1
ARS
44%
29%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |