Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 5-5
Fluminense vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 3
FLU
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
2 - 0
GOI
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ATP
0 - 3
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BOA
3 - 2
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 3
FLU
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
AMF
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ARN
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |