Fluminense vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 4
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
TIG
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
BOA
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
AME
3 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
AME
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
RES
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |