Fluminense vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAM
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 1
CCP
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLU
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
FLU
21%
26%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 2
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 0
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 2
CDG
58%
26%
16%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 2
ALI
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |