Fluminense vs Al-Ahly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 3
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
FLU
33%
27%
41%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
COT
71%
17%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 1
ALI
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
BEL
49%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 1
ALA
23%
23%
55%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
SMO
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
MED
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |