Fluminense PI vs Comercial PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
FPI
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
4DE
1 - 3
FPI
19%
20%
61%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
2 - 1
ALT
28%
22%
51%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 2
FPI
25%
21%
54%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FPI
3 - 0
FPI
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 5 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAC
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 4
RIV
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COR
4 - 0
CAC
9%
14%
77%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -3 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 0
CAC
48%
22%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
4DE
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |