Fluminense PI vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 0
TUN
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 2
FPI
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FPI
2 - 3
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PAC
0 - 0
FPI
32%
25%
42%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 2
PAC
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
4DE
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
JCA
1 - 0
CAS
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOC
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |